Web Statistics The Sentiment Trader

Thursday, 25 August 2016

Will The Stock Market Crash In 2016

Will The Stock Market Crash In 2016? - 2 Signs It Might

While everyone was in a panic after the Brexit vote was announced, things quickly calmed down and investors eventually regained their confidence in the global markets. The question is, did they regain their confidence too soon? Yes, the Nasdaq, S&P 500 and Dow have all regained some of their losses. However, the issues that could lead to a 2016 stock market crash are far from over. 

Here are 2 signs that point to a possible 2016 stock market crash:

#1 – Gold Purchasing Trends 

When investors are preparing for a crash, one of the first things they do is increase their investments in gold. And that is exactly what has been happening. Since January 2016 some of the wealthiest investors in the world have been flocking to gold. This is because gold is one of the best forms of currency you can own in times of uncertainty.

When paper currency loses its purchasing power, gold will not. It will also protect you from portfolio losses and plummeting stocks. 

According to the World Gold Council, 1,290 tons of gold was purchased during the first quarter of 2016. This is a 21% increase over the same time last year.  

Even still, its the moves of billionaire investors that we should pay the most attention to. In the first quarter of 2016 billionaire investor George Soros' fund invested in over $250 million Barrick Gold Corp. shares. And if that wasn't enough, Stanley Druckenmiller, another notable billionaire investor, said his largest currency allocation right now is gold. 

These gold purchasing trends should tell you something is going on and we all need to prepare. 

#2 – The Feds Aren't Raising Interest Rates 

Another reason a stock market crash may be imminent is because of the Feds unwillingness to raise interest rates. 

When the U.S. Federal Reserve raises interest rates its a sign that the economy in the United States is healthy. When they don't, its a sign that trouble may be on the horizon. According to Fortune, investors believe there is an 8% chance the Fed will raise rates before the year is over. 

Slow job growth and fewer Americans purchasing homes is why the Fed is refusing to raise interest rates. And while the unemployment rate fell to a nine year low in May,  job creation came to a virtual stand still. 


Home sells also fell by 6% in May. With mortgage rates at near historic lows and Americans still not being able to afford new homes, that's a sign of just how weak the U.S. economy really is. So here's the bottom line, start preparing now! 

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Wednesday, 24 August 2016

Where to stash cash if rates go up in September

Group to buy for a rate hike

Where to stash cash if rates go up in September

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Group to buy for a rate hike

Where to stash cash if rates go up in September ?



Group to buy for a rate hike  -  Where to stash cash if rates go up in September
Group to buy for a rate hike  -  Where to stash cash if rates go up in September



Group to buy for a rate hike

Where to stash cash if rates go up in September

Group to buy for a rate hike... what to do...?


When Janet Yellen speaks on Friday, Jim Cramer thinks she could make a case for a strong economy that is ready for multiple rate hikes.

"I bet a small tightening will turn out to be a buying opportunity, even as there are always weak-handed traders who sell on any rate increase," the "Mad Money" host said.

When Cramer listened to the stellar Toll Brothers earnings conference call on Tuesday, it was clear to him why the housing market is doing so well. Toll Brothers dominates the high-end real estate market, building homes that average $843,000.

The company bought back approximately 7 percent of its shares in the first nine months of the fiscal year, but what really impressed Cramer was the geographical breadth of its strength. It managed to thrive in markets like Denver and Dallas, even though they were supposed to be hurt by slumping oil prices.

"Remember that these kinds of stocks are logical places to go, if indeed, a September move is back on the table."

"You have to remember … housing punches above its weight. Meaning, when housing is strong it leads to all sorts of good things for the economy, including the desire to spend money improving your house in order to augment its worth," Cramer said.

It was the combination of nationwide home price appreciation and consistent monthly gains that catapulted Toll Brothers' stock up almost 10 percent on Monday and Tuesday.

This was important, Cramer said, because until Toll Brothers reported there was a perception that the high-end home business was becoming weaker. Therefore, many assumed that home appreciation hit a ceiling and housing had peaked.

Looking at the chart, one of the stock TOL or [toll brothers] does look quite nice. You can see that a ascending triangle breakout occurred at 30 dollars happened just a few days ago.  So in our opinion this would be one to watch for the coming weeks / months. 

Where to stash cash if rates go up in September

Stellar earnings from retail companies related to housing told us that this theme is here to stay. Strength in Home Depot could mean good things for companies like Whirlpool, Stanley Black & Decker, Masco, PPG, Sherwin-Williams and any other retailer with goods that fill peoples' homes.

However, It would be emphasized that if Yellen does make a case for multiple rate hikes, investors need to remember that the trends driving the nationwide gains — like strong employment and loosening credit — won't be crushed by a quarter-point gain.

"Keep this steady flow of good news in mind as everyone else frets about what Janet Yellen has to say on Friday, and remember that these kinds of stocks are logical places to go, if indeed, a September move is back on the table.".  -    Source : Cnbc.


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Tuesday, 23 August 2016

Will Gold Go Higher In Price? - 2 Reasons It Will

Will Gold Go Higher In Price? - 2 Reasons It Will 

As gold hit a15 month high of $1,270 in May of 2016, gold investors started to question whether or not the rally would continue. And while setting an exact gold price can be extremely difficult, based on what's going on in the political arena, the economy and the investment world, its safe to say the price of gold is only going to continue to rise. 

Here are two reasons you can expect the price of gold to continue to rise in 2016 and beyond. 

#1 – Demand 

Demand rules all. The more people want something, the higher in price it will go. In the first quarter of 2016 the demand for gold grew by 21% over the previous year. This growth was spurred by the rise in investment demand from ETF's or exchange traded funds. While ETF's had a sharp sell off in the previous two years, the 364 tonnes of inflows in the first quarter of 2016 more than compensated for what was lost during 2014 and 2015. 

#2 – Bullish Sentiment From Very Wealthy Investors 

At the Sohn Investment Conference in May 2016, Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller advised investors to get away from the stock market right now and start investing more in gold. He also confirmed that gold is his largest currency allocation. 

This sentiment is in line with what Michael Lewitt from Money Morning predicted. He believes there is going to be a “Super Crash” in the near future that will decimate not only portfolios, but retirement accounts as well. And if you know Michael Lewitt's track record you know he is rarely wrong in these types of situations. 

As a matter of fact, he correctly predicted what took place in the markets in 2001 and 2008. He knew what was going to happen even before Wall Street did. In his new 2016 Gold Briefing report Lewitt was quoted as saying, "Right now, I'm seeing another bear market on the horizon." He also warned investors of a market collapse that will be one of the biggest they have ever seen and will ever see in their lifetime. 

Don't Wait Until Its Too Late 


With demand rising and billionaire investors being bullish on Gold, now is the perfect time to invest. It is the single best investment you could ever make. Not only can it protect you from inflation, but it can also protect you in the event of a stock market crash. Invest now so you can benefit as gold continues to rally. 

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