Web Statistics May 2013

Thursday, 30 May 2013

Latest Market Update - 31st May 2013

A little bag of goodies to help you trade in this crazy market! 

WATCH the latest Market Update Video Below.

Market Update - Video Analysis 31st May
 

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Wednesday, 29 May 2013

nikkei 225 bleeds

nikkei 225 bleeds

As you can see the Nikkei 225 is bleeding at the moment, and more bleed was had today over in ASIA.

If you look at the nikkei 225 daily chart you can see that we are nearing support of a longer term rising support line that goes right back to December 2012.

If we break this rising support line there could be more trouble. Not a reason to panic yet, but the next few days will be important for Japan and the Asian markets.

Nikkei was 15,700 last week.  It was 13,900 about an hour ago.

That's a 12% decline.  That's a a lot of wealth being destroyed in the name of a "Government Experiment" (QE).


nikkei 225
nikkei 225 bleeds




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Tuesday, 28 May 2013

Aussie Dollar Is Now the World's Weakest Currency

Aussie Dollar Is Now the World's Weakest Currency

It is now official! Here in 2013 who would have thought it, but the Aussie Dollar Is Now the World's Weakest Currency

Take a look at the chart below. WOW!


Aussie Dollar Is Now the World's Weakest Currency
Aussie Dollar Is Now the World's Weakest Currency

From CNBC.

Aussie Dollar Is Now the World's Weakest Currency as the Australian dollar tumbled to its lowest level since October 2011 in early Asia trade on Wednesday, extending this month's sharp slide against a broadly-stronger U.S. currency.

The latest catalyst for move in the Aussie dollar was stronger U.S. economic data overnight that pushed the greenback higher against all major currencies. Data published on Tuesday showed consumer confidence rose in May to its highest level in more than five years.

Analysts said the Australian dollar bore the brunt of the selling because sentiment has turned against the currency this month and traders were looking to see how far they could push the battered currency.

The Aussie dollar fell as low as $0.9570. It has shed some 8 percent so far this month, putting it on track to become the world's worst performing major currency. In May, the Aussie dollar has even under performed the battered Japanese yen, which is down almost 6 percent.

"Over the last 24 hours the Australian dollar has been the weakest currency in the world and the sell-off is not just about a stronger U.S. dollar," said Nick Parsons, global co-head of currency strategy at National Australia Bank.

"People are asking themselves how far the Aussie dollar needs to fall to regain a degree of international competitiveness and to look cheap again," he added.

The Aussie dollar, one of last year's best performing major currencies, has taken a beating this month amid weakness in commodities, signs of a slowdown in China, Australia's major trading partner and as talk of an early end to the Federal Reserve's asset purchase program lifts the U.S. currency.

"There is no doubt that sentiment towards Aussie remains highly negative, but with the pair so grossly oversold and so close to the 9500 cent level it now looks like a bargain to many reserve diversification officers across the world," said Boris Schlossberg, managing director of currency strategy at BK Asset Management in a note.

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crude support and resistance

crude support and resistance

The crude support and resistance chart below is quite interesting. As you can see the support and resistance in crude has been bouncing in between 23 adn 34 and if you zoom back and look at the chart you can see that since the end of FEBURARY this year we look like we are forming an inverted head and shoulders pattern on the chart.

Normally an inverted head and shoulder on the crude chart could be a warning of more upside coming especially if we break the 34 level, that would be a very good thing!


crude support and resistance
crude support and resistance


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Monday, 27 May 2013

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booming sectors - biotech boom

booming sectors - biotech boom


biotech boom
biotech boom

One of Wall Street's riskiest equity bets is back. Some say its one of the next booming sectors to take off. The biotech boom 

With the rapid development of medical breakthroughs and treatments, many market investors have poured over $700 million dollars into newly floated companies on the stockmarket, in an attempt to cure major diseases like cancer, MS and hepatitis C.

This is causing a major boom, when you look at some of the charts. Biotech investments were once seen as highly speculative and very risky, however in 2013 with the rapid development of global technologies research say it is not a matter of IF they come up with the next medical miracle but on WHEN!?


booming sectors
booming sectors
Alot of the small biotech stocks that were struggling have now seen a resurgence in interest and investment. There are even large backers, and money funds seeing how much potential these companies have and pumping them full of money left, right and center.

In 2013 there are 10 newly listed companies on the stockmarket, and more floats are coming and investors are keeping a keen eye on these.

With industry data showing on average that just one in ten biotech companies successfully launch a drug product, the risks are high. But the right investment in a company promising a breakthrough can lead to outsize returns for early investors.


Mad Money host Jim Cramer is on the hunt for medical plays that could inject it with profits.
The leap in listings comes as publicly traded biotechnology companies have outperformed. The Nasdaq Biotechnology Index has risen 32 per cent since the start of the year, eclipsing its previous record high set during the dotcom era and far outgaining the S&P 500's 16 per cent rise.

The interest has come from a broad base of risk-seeking investors and has been fuelled by the knock-on effects of global monetary easing. Bankers said it had never been easier to bring a biotech company to market, with deals pricing at unusally strong levels.

Buy-side investors ranging from hedge funds to institutional investors were reviewing investment opportunities in the sector, bankers said. The deals have typically been the domain of niche, specialist firms.

This risk-taking has allowed companies in earlier stages of the drug development process, including some that have not had a clinical trial, to come to market.

"A general rule that a biotech company had to have hit a certain phase of progress is no longer true," said Michael Zeidel, a capital markets attorney at Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom. "There's certainly more deals getting done now from companies in the earlier stages of drug development."

The sector has also been one of the biggest beneficiaries of the Jumpstart Our Business Startups (Jobs) Act, which came into force last April and was designed to make it easier for start-ups to launch an IPO.

If you have a look at the biotech index chart below, you can see since the 1st of January that the biotech index has really taken off. The stock market has been strong this year, and that has indeed helped the biotech boom.



biotech boom
biotech boom  - chart


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Sunday, 26 May 2013

10 facts about gold

10 facts about gold
10 facts about gold
10 facts about gold

Here are 10 facts about gold that you might find interesting.



1)  Gold has to go higher soon. Here is why? 

People are tuning to gold, because when Spain introduced more gold into their monetary system, it caused a devaluation of gold, the same can be said for the “money printing” of currencies around the world. And as we can see from the rise in gold’s price since the 1970s because of the continuation of the expansion of the monitory base, if we apply the same logic, the price of gold has to go higher in the coming years! (as will the price of everything else).

2)  Comparing Gold To The US Dollar

Regarding volatility, people often equate a commodity or commodities as being volatile. No one ever questions if it is the US dollar which is the volatile one moving against everything else. Lets face it, how often have you seen all commodities  fall relative to the US Dollar.

3)  Central Banks are buying up gold BIG TIME!

The point about gold’s value is that gold cannot be printed, like paper money. Gold has been valued since time began. The supply (new production) is relatively fixed while the demand fluctuates. It is recognised as a store of value both by the world’s central banks and by private individuals worried about the devaluing of paper money that is the inevitable consequence of Japan’s, America’s and UK’s Quantitative Easing policies.

Central banks are still actively buying gold. But the gold market can and is manipulated by interests not wanting to see the US dollar embarrassed by its declining value being made obvious by the gold price escalating. If these interests can suddenly flood the market by selling 300 tons of gold ‘futures’ in a few hours they can guarantee unsettling people’s trust in gold. But only for a while. The demand for gold has not disappeared. Retail demand has rocketed in recent weeks in response to the gold price decline consequent upon the market manipulation that has occurred.

4)  People get caught up in short term price movement.

Gold is NOT an investment, it is savings. If your grandpappy had opted to keep a $20 bill vs an Ounce of Gold (approx $20 value at that time) in 1913, how would your inheritance look today? $20 bill = $20 bill, 1oz of gold = 1oz of gold (approx $1500 value today).

It is this key element, the long run wealth preserving effects of the precious metal, that keep an investor as a rational gold “saver”. Investors savings be worth something in the future when their children or their grandchildren receive them.  Don’t get blinded by the short term price movements.

5)  Gold is a stable store of REAL VALUE.

Two thousands year ago you could buy a full clothing set for an ounce of gold, today in 2013, a full clothing set or suit will cost the same for an ounce. You will still get the same.

6)  People are buying GOLD first.

 At the moment there is a swift of wealth from west to east, and we know that china, Brazil, India and most of Asian country value gold more than people from west like Europe & US, Canada etc, maybe that’s why demand of gold increase and resulted the price very high. Even the Chinese and in brazil, india people are holding gold even in small amount. It is being reported that in 2013, before Asians will not buy a BMW car and expensive precious stuff first, they buy gold first, it’s totally different with western people, so when they are rich they have back up when something bad happen in world economic. Even china government encourage the people to buy gold, and at the moment the demand of retail gold is increasing cause the price little bit cheaper. Sound crazy but it’s the fact in Asia.

7)  The elite in the USA are buying gold. 

The Elite or those societies that are manipulating the governments and economy are said to have been buying gold and silver by the ton. They know that there is massive amounts of debt in the system right now that they have created and they are buying up gold right now as they prepare for massive inflation and a US currency that is losing value by the day.

8)  Longer term gold wins the race. 

Gold is a more robust market but a lot more sensitive to “news” (real or created).

Ask yourself the question if you were given the task of preserving wealth (say a million dollars worth) and the capsule to be opened in a 1000 years time . . . what would you put in it ? USA dollars or gold bars? Whether we like it or not nothing is going to change with gold in 100 years from now.

8)  Gold is backed as an investment. 

When someone wants to or is able to calculate the difference between the value (based on “real” gold price)of “paper” gold, and actual gold, this will push the gold price well into the +$2G range. What else is there to “backup” all the financial transactions in the world today? (The “derivatives” market is another “kettle of fish”, the new gold supply could not possibly support the 100′s of trillions of $$ traded each day!) Your best bet is gold by far!

9)  Gold is not another paper investment. 

Many people buy and physically own gold for the intention of having value they can feel and touch, these people are less concerned about the everyday ups and downs of the market and more concerned about having something they value and that others may value in the future.

This can be for any number of things: they are uncertain about the strength of the monetary system, they don’t trust banks holding their cash, they want other types of investment other than land etc., they want something valuable that they can give to future generations. It makes sense to to invest a large percentage of your money in gold, investment should vary, but gold is and investment you can most easily protect from the outside world.

10)   Gold Holds Real Worth.

Gold as an investment pays no dividends but will always be worth something, someday when paper money is not. No one knows when this will be, but the way the US government are printing money, they are speeding up the process.

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Saturday, 25 May 2013

nasdaq daily - nasdaq analysis

nasdaq daily - nasdaq analysis 

The nasdaq daily chart showing us that the holiday reversal has played out quite well. The smart money is unwinding some of their positions as they go on holiday. There is a currently a long weekend in the US for the labor day break.  

The nasdaq daily chart below is showing us that the 5-10-20 timer has been playing out well. Right  now, we can see the EMA 5, EMA 10 have broken. However the major Moving average line the EMA 20 or the green line has held very well. If we break below this, there could indeed be more trouble coming to this market, so as traders we must stay on our toes.

I talk more about this 3 MOVING AVERAGE LINES HERE - CLICK HERE TO VIEW THE VIDEO.


nasdaq daily - nasdaq analysis
nasdaq daily - nasdaq analysis





Having a look at the weekly chart of the nasdaq you can see below are circled the major indicators MACD and Stochastics. So far these indicators are on a buy stance right now, and that has been working like a charm. Even though the market has sold off a little we must remember we are in a holiday reversal period and this is normal, plus we have not see such a long lasting rally on the market for a long time, so a bit of profit taking is normal.

Still the weekly charts are the most important and you can see that even though people are screaming for a crash, the weekly charts are holding pretty well for now. Alot of the smart money has been buying the dips in 2013 and not only has this been working, but we are not even 6 months though the years and some of the larger allocated funds are doing very well.


nasdaq daily - nasdaq analysis
nasdaq weekly - nasdaq analysis


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Friday, 24 May 2013

Market update - holiday reversals

Market update

After and most exuberant rally, the S&P finally did break down from its rising support line.

There is a but though, BUT..... you have to understand we are in a holiday reversal mode. What does that mean?

Well in layman's terms, most bigger traders from Wednesday unwind their large positions before the three day weekend, so they can have fun, and take their mistresses to the Hampton for a few days.  *winks*

I explain more (about holiday reversals) in our VIP members section CLICK HERE To  Learn more!

I was surprised how well the day finished. As you can see, went sold off hard, but finished the day with the bulls who came back hard and we closed the day at 1650. We are in a resilient market.






The McClellan Oscilator has sold off back down to the -40 level, and at an area previously were we saw more buying come in. So next week will be interesting, especially later on in the week when the big money comes back into the market.






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Thursday, 23 May 2013

traders psychology - a quick look at sophisticated traders psychology


Traders Psychology 


Traders Psychology
Traders Psychology


Emotion States Of The Average Trader – Greed, Fear, Hope, and Regret



Trading is not an easy game. You have to take the wins with the losses and learn to be one of the most patient persons in the world. But there is a deeper hidden side of trading that no one really talks about these days. That is the Psychology behind trading or traders psychology. 

There are many psychological states for us as human beings, but as traders there are even more heightened states of emotions that drive our most individual decision making process. These highly emotive states are GREED, FEAR, HOPE and REGRET. 

The stock market is known to be a game of chance however you must realize the daily movements and fluctuations on the market are nothing more than emotional groups of people just like you and I who are basing their decisions on emotional status. 

If you can understand these emotions you will have an edge over others when trading. There are always going to be clues for you each day, but astute traders know the warning signs are subtle and hard to understand at times, but if you can master the recognition by seeing examples, you can maximize your chances of winning consistently on the market each week. 


What is Greed?


We can define greed as a desire for 3 things:-

1) Personal satisfaction
2) More money
3) Wealth.

When we are talking in terms of trading, we can define this even further by acknowledging a traders one true desire. To find that instant trade that is going to capture unrealistic profits in a short period of time. 
Greed here is when all a trader can see is how much money they have made, not how much money they could lose if things go against them.

The thing to remember here is that profit is not actual realized profit until a position is closed. Until then, all profit is just PAPER PROFIT. Greed can then cause a trader to ignore proper risk management procedures and increase their risk of heavy losses. 

What is Fear?

This is one of the most talked about emotion in trading. It is also one of the emotions that all traders struggle with time to time. FEAR!

We can describe fear as a distressing emotion which is our human brain reacting to something that is biologically implanted in us at birth. It results in a survival response, no matter if we are in an immediate threat or something a bit more unrelated. 

Of all the human emotions, FEAR is the most powerful. When you are trading, fear can take over and cause you to sell a position, or even buy fearing you are about to miss a rally. Fear can cause us to panic and make silly mistakes. 

Fear can get  you out of a bad trade, but it can also make you take profits from positions too early. You can  panic, jump the gun only to see the prices take off again. 

Also fear seems to be triggered from previous emotional memories. Have you ever remembered a time when you lost significant amounts of money on a particular trade. Many traders have these horror stories unfortunately  However, fear can come in and remind us of the past and cause us to stay away. If you are afraid to enter a quality set up, there really is no point to trading. 

What is Hope?



Next we have HOPE!

This is a raw emotions and expectation that something will happen. Its a want or need, and expect results. 

This is a dangerous human emotion, when it comes to the trading world. Hope is what keeps a trading losing time and time again consistently

Hope can prevent a trader from taking profits when his position is in a winning or profitable position. Traders have a habit of thinking they CAN BEAT THE MARKET, when this is impossible. Normally a trader is in hope when he position goes against him and he refuses to let it hit a certain stop loss level. He will believe and tell himself that the position will come back to his entry level and then be in profit, right at the time when the position is going so far past him, and the damage is so great, HOPE becomes a sense of denial in some regards. 

Normally when HOPE takes over your thinking the market will punish you beyond your worst nightmares. Traders who live in hope face huge risks and maximum damage in the markets. It might not happen today, but when they least expect it. 



What is regret?



Lastly we have REGRET. 

Many traders can relate to this powerful emotion when it comes to trading. The reason is because it goes hand in hand with the other three raw powerful emotions above. 

Regret is a kind of toned down depression or sadness over something that has happend as a trader. Especially when it involves a loss or missed opportunity. 

This can be also the feelings of WHY and HOW did things turn out in a negative situation. Normally the trader will ask questions why, but soon realize that damage is done and asking oneself questions can not undo the damage. Then the trader will go in a further second degree of guilt and further regret. 

The positive thing about the REGRET emotions is that positives can come from this. Lessons will be learnt and a trader who can go on, will usually use the mistakes and lessons learnt to make better trades next time. A good trader will have some regret but be able to move on and use his past mistakes in a good way.

We all grow older and make mistakes. Life would be pretty boring if we went about our day doing the right thing. So as a trader you have to realize that you will make many mistakes along the way, however the second part to this realization, is that they can help in future times. Mistakes should only happen once. Learn from your mistakes, and do not dwell on them. This is the best way to become a self educated trader who can maximize his profits and minimize his risks. 

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nikkei crash - nikkei stock market

nikkei crash - nikkei stock market

nikkei crash - nikkei stock market
nikkei crash - nikkei stock market

Well...ok, I admit this is not a crash. It was just the nikkei being put in its place after an exuberant rally.

Just weeks ago Japan had to INJECT over $19 billion Dollars into the financial system.

Today was horrific today, asn the nikkei stock market crashed. Right now as you read this the nikkei 225 is down down 1500 points from its highs and down 1150 (over 7%) from yesterday's close.

High-to-low this is the biggest drop in 26 months... and down 1000 points from its earlier highs.

All the time it is just the quadrillion JPY second-largest bond market in the world that is experiencing volatility on an unprecedented scale, the BoJ and her partners in crime are more than willing to 'officially' say "please do not worry." But when the equity market - that barometer of everything good and holy about Abenomics starts to crater, you can bet the excuses will come fast and furious.

Today's drop of over 1500 points (over 9%) from the earlier highs is the largest drop for the Nikkei 225 since March 2011. The Nikkei 225 just lost the all-powerful 15,000 level and is suffering another VaR shock with a 6-sigma move today. In fact given the price levels this drop is on par with the post-Lehman moves in 2008.

The question now (with US equity futures also fading fast -20 points and JPY crosses getting hammered) is how will the Japanese risk appetite for peripheral European crap hold up with this crimping in their plan as Japanese bonds and stocks dump?


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Wednesday, 22 May 2013

our facebook fan page

our facebook fan page


Hey sports fans, after getting back, I decided to Join FACEBOOK and jump on this whole social media craze.

Everyone and their dog is on facebook, so I decided to do the same. Our page is already getting lots of attention, so please be my guest and join us. The Address is below.


our facebook fan page
our facebook fan page





I must admit that I am not the most computer literate person. Heck, I will be honest, I am about as good as a granny in a wheel chair when it comes to this computer stuff, however I felt it was time to get on the bandwagon and join the facebook party.

Please go over and check out our facebook fan page now    >>  CLICK HERE   <<

Make sure when you visit you CLICK THE LIKE Button..... If you do that, you will be updated instantly whenever we update our facebook fan page. We do try to update our page as often as we can, and also have a little bit of fun with our members also.

I will let you in on a little secret. We will be holding a competition there you will definatly want to be a part of later in  2013, so do not miss out, and check out our facebook fan page now    >>  CLICK HERE   <<


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Tuesday, 21 May 2013

Russell Prediction Hit Dead On

Russell Prediction Hit Dead On

Hey traders! Hope you are well.

Today, I looked back on our RUSSELL predictions.  We were forecasting an inverted head and shoulders breakout a few weeks ago with higher prices coming, and that is EXACTLY what happend.

for proof .... CLICK HERE - TO SEE POST! 

And here is the image of the russell back then.




We hinted that these market patterns (inverse head and shoulders) preceed higher prices on the market. And that is what we got. 

Check out todays chart of the russell......TARGET HIT! 



Say no more!, you just have to love technical analysis. :-) There has hardly been a red day in sight these last few weeks. WOW!

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people buying gold - why are people buying gold

people buying gold - why are people buying gold right now.

You are probably reading the papers, the internet, and other media news channels seeing all they hype and hysteria surrounding gold.  You are probably thinking to yourself, WOW! there are so many people buying gold right now. What is all the fuss about? And should you really be another to jump on the bandwagon?

people buying gold
people buying gold - snap it up


People buying gold has been almost a tradition for hundreds of years now, the reason is because gold is a highly sort after commodity and holds real worth. YES! It is true. There are stories back in the wild western days when trouble came to the financial system people would walk into their local shop, and buy goods or services with their gold.

Ever since the horrific market crash back in 2008 the prices of gold has been rising dramatically. Forget the smaller sell offs along the way. I posted this chart a few weeks back showing what the price of gold has done over the last 12 years. It's quite an amazing chart when you zoom back and take a look at the bigger picture.

As you can see, if you bought gold 12 years ago, you would not only be doing well but cleaning up BIG TIME!

people buying gold
people buying gold - gold price chart




Today more investors, central banks, countries, and financial institutions are choosing to buy and own physical gold.

Check out our top 10 reasons to own gold and learn why now more than ever, gold ownership is on the rise.

1)  Gold is universal money, a tangible store of value and wealth protection.

2)  Physical gold cannot go bankrupt or broke.  Gold bullion will never default on promises or obligations.

3)  In times of crisis, gold bullion tends to increase sharply in value.

4)  Gold is not created by governments nor is its value dependent upon governments.  All of today's governments issue paper fiat currencies ( dollars, euros, yen, pounds, yuan, rupees, pesos, etc. ).  Fiat currencies have no tangible value and are backed only by government decree ( namely legal tender laws ). Historically, governments always create and issue too much fiat currency.  Over the longterm, paper fiat currencies are worth less and less, until they are ultimately worthless.  The average lifespan of a fiat currency is 27 years.

5)  Investors can buy and own physical gold privately and anonymously.

6)  Super-national and national bank regulatory agencies are making moves to reclassify gold as zero percent risk-weighted asset helping to further drive physical demand from smaller banks.

7)  Today, most nations are inflating and devaluing their respective fiat currency's purchasing power to both boost international trade and exports, and to more easily finance their nominal debts and social program liabilities.  For instance, in the USA, retirees will most likely receive future promised Social Security checks... although there is no promise on how many goods and or services these checks will actually buy.  Click here for data on fiat currency devaluations versus gold.    

8)  Gold bullion investments are extremely portable, liquid, and easy to store in one's home.

9)  Governments and central banks are now net buyers of gold, meaning they are buying and hoarding more gold bullion than they are selling.

10)  Politically or through market demand, governments will come under increasing pressure in returning to currencies backed by gold.  Returning to a monetary system anchored in gold could cause the value of gold bullion to rise considerably in the months and years ahead.


So we feel that people buying gold is not just a fad now, it has been happening for 12 or so years. Even the central banks are buying up gold, and they are not doing this to lose money now are they?


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