Web Statistics January 2017

Monday, 30 January 2017

mexican stock market index fund - mexico stock market chart


mexican stock market index fund - mexico stock market chart

"mexican stock market index fund - mexico stock market chart" 

in the news mexican stock market index fund - mexico stock market chart? What this all about..... See below. 

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Sentiment Trader Has heard lots of rumors about mexico and the stock market there. With DONALD TRUMP nailing the leader there right now and also very immediate about putting pressure on the MEXICAN govt and building a giant wall on the mexico borders, their stock market is taking a real beating. 

You can see the MEXICO stock market is very unloved. Investors are panicking, and do not know what to do. 



. This is quite interesting. 


mexican stock market index fund - mexico stock market chart


The easiest way is to buy shares of the iShares MSCI Mexico exchange traded fund EWW, -0.04% Beyond that, several Mexican companies trade as ADRs here, or with pink-sheet listings that trade substantial volume. 

On the plus side,  with the peso down so much, you can expect an influx of tourists. That will help airport companies. The key is to favor those that do a lot of international as opposed to domestic traffic, points out Goldman Sachs analyst M├írcio Prado. He cites “buy”-rated Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste ASR, +0.83% as an example. If you have ever flown to Cancun, you have gone through one of its airports.

To be sure, there are risks with Mexico, of course. The executive branch has broad powers in foreign affairs. Though it’s not entirely clear from a legal perspective and any decision along these lines would probably be challenged in court, a President Trump probably does have the power to “unilaterally deliver major change” in trade relations with Mexico.

That would be terrible news because “for Mexico there is no Plan B to offset the potential blow from protectionism to the country’s export-focused North American centric economic narrative, so not wonder the chart looks horrible right now. 

And even if Trump doesn’t go this route, the uncertainty in the interim could take a toll on business confidence and investment in Mexico. That alone could be bad news for Mexico.

The plus side could be the fact TRUMP gets all this wall stuff done and gets off mexico's back for a bit. And people start to see the benefits for this trade deal and the wall. That would send the mexico stock market soaring to new heights. But for now, its the most unloved stock market in the world. :-(

The S&P 500 closed Thursday within a fraction of its all-time high

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Sunday, 29 January 2017

warren buffett derivatives weapons of mass destruction quote - warren buffett derivatives weapons of mass destruction quote


warren buffett derivatives weapons of mass destruction quote

"warren buffett derivatives weapons of mass destruction quote" 

in the news warren buffett derivatives weapons of mass destruction quote? What this all about..... See below. 

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Sentiment Trader has recently seen an interview with warren buffett, a man to be listened to we feel.  Thirteen years after describing derivatives as "weapons of mass destruction" Warren Buffett has reaffirmed his view that they pose a threat to the global economy and financial markets.

warren buffett derivatives weapons of mass destruction quote

In an interview with Chanticleer this week, Buffett said that "at some point they are likely to cause big trouble".

"Derivatives, lend themselves to huge amounts of speculation," he said.

"One thing about stocks is that with a settlement date of three business days from purchase you have a very short period of time between the commitment and when you settle up.

 Warren Buffett said: "One thing about stocks is that with a settlement date of three business days from purchase you ...

Warren Buffett said: "One thing about stocks is that with a settlement date of three business days from purchase you have a very short period of time between the commitment and when you settle up." AP

"That at least makes sure that things don't exist as a fallacy or exist on paper for years.

"When I took over the derivative operation at Gen Re which we inherited we had contracts that ran for 100 years before anybody settled up and in between people just kept marking the numbers down.

"So the amount of speculation in credit you can introduce into the system through derivatives is pretty extraordinary."

The total nominal amount of over-the-counter derivatives contracts outstanding in the world at December 2014 was $US630 trillion ($815 trillion), according to the latest statistics from the Bank for International Settlements in Switzerland. That is about eight times the size of estimated world gross domestic product of $US75 trillion.

The BIS statistics show that the bulk of the nominal value of OTC derivatives is from interest rate contracts totalling $US505 trillion.

Buffett says the trigger for derivatives trouble will be a disruption in financial markets which cannot be predicted.  

"The problem arises when there is a discontinuity in the market for some reason or another.

"When the markets closed like it was for a few days after 9/11 or in World War I the market was closed for four or five months – anything that disrupts the continuity of the market when you have trillions of dollars of nominal amounts outstanding and no ability to settle up and who knows what happens when the market reopens," he said.

"That is a very dangerous situation.

"Clearing houses help but they don't solve the problem."

Buffett said he had not changed his view that derivatives are weapons of mass destruction but they still can serve a purpose.

"That does not mean they cannot be used intelligently. We use them in our utility operation in terms of hedging input costs, for some short term contracts, converting fixed to floating rates for fixed income investments and foreign exchange, they serve a useful purpose but do have that mass destruction potential.

"It's like the difference between a controlled fire and one that is uncontrolled.

"It's much more dangerous having instruments out that don't settle for years than it is to actually own equities outright where purchases have to be cleared in a couple of days."

Buffett said that if AIG, the huge US insurer rescued by the US government in 2008, "had never heard of derivatives they would have been a lot better off."



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Friday, 27 January 2017

stock market top - is this a stock market top


is this a stock market top

"is this a stock market top" 

in the news is this a stock market top? What this all about..... See below. 

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Sentiment Trader can see alot of people and gossip about the stock market. 

Everyone are expecting the stock market to ROCKET up higher here, right after we have just RALLIED up 10%. 

The market however might be nearing a "trading peak" of sorts, according to one equity strategist whose short- and intermediate-term models are pointing to a dip afoot in the next couple of weeks.

Now, of course, That doesn't mean a correction has to happen, the market appears to have used up most of its "internal energy." in the last few weeks, so we will see what we get. ==> WE WILL KEEP OUR MEMBERS ALERTED HERE!

Now that trump is in, there is a weird tone in my mind, because it appears the market would have a window of "downside vulnerability," that is if TRUMP cannot promise on what he wants to do in MEXICO and with the US economy.  There could be violent downside risks at the moment. Again, we have not seen it this week. 

right now, navigating the market to flying an airplane, "when you are in the 'soup,' and have no visible horizon, you have to trust your instruments. The same is true for the stock market; you have to trust your instruments in 2017"

Its a very smart practice here to use stop-losses religiously, on their positions or trading out of speculative positions in the case of encountering such a near-term pullback. A stop-loss order automatically sells out of a trader's position at a certain downside price, hopefully limiting that trader's losses.

Here is a CHART of the market, its basically 


This is quite interesting. 


stock market top


Some market strategists at this point have called the market overbought, having run too far, too fast, in the wake of the U.S. election. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones industrial average have risen 7 percent and nearly 10 percent, respectively, since the election in November, the Dow breaking through the 20,000 milestone on Wednesday.

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Thursday, 26 January 2017

Elites Eying The Exits Signals America's Crisis - Elites Eying The Exits Signals America's Crisis


Elites Eying The Exits Signals America's Crisis

"Elites Eying The Exits Signals America's Crisis" 

in the news Elites Eying The Exits Signals America's Crisis? What this all about..... See below. 

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Sentiment Trader has recently seen Elites Eying The Exits Signals America's Crisis ...

Yves here. A former private equity partner mentioned the New Yorker story on 0.1% bunkering. He noticed how they focused on the private jet pilot as a point of vulnerability, that he might fly his family out and leave them stranded. So the approach is to assure him that his relatives get seats on the plane too.

Originally published at the Institute for New Economic Thinking website

Interviewed as part of an extraordinary New Yorker investigation into growing anxiety among America’s corporate elite over the potential for anarchic social collapse, Institute President Robert Johnson saw his peers’ talk of bolt-holes in New Zealand as reflecting a deeper crisis.

Johnson told writer Evan Osnos of the mounting anxiety he had encountered among hedge-fund managers and other wealthy Americans he knew. “More and more were saying, ‘You’ve got to have a private plane,” Johnson said. “You have to assure that the pilot’s family will be taken care of, too. They have to be on the plane.’ ”

Osnos writes: “By January, 2015, Johnson was sounding the alarm: the tensions produced by acute income inequality were becoming so pronounced that some of the world’s wealthiest people were taking steps to protect themselves. At the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, Johnson told the audience, ‘I know hedge-fund managers all over the world who are buying airstrips and farms in places like New Zealand because they think they need a getaway.’ ”

Johnson bemoaned the lack of a “spirit of stewardship” and openness to more aggressively redistributive tax policy among the wealthy.

“Twenty-five hedge-fund managers make more money than all of the kindergarten teachers in America combined,” he told the New Yorker. “Being one of those twenty-five doesn’t feel good. I think they’ve developed a heightened sensitivity.”

If anything, Osnos wrote, inequality is widening, noting recent statistics from the National Bureau of Economic Research that showed that while incomes for the top 1 percent of Americans have nearly tripled, half of the population was earning at the same level they did in 1980, comparing America’s wealth gap to that seen in the Democratic Republic of Congo.

“If we had a more equal distribution of income, and much more money and energy going into public school systems, parks and recreation, the arts, and health care, it could take an awful lot of sting out of society,” Johnson said. “We’ve largely dismantled those things.”

He saw elite anxiety as an indicator America’s social crisis.


“Why do people who are envied for being so powerful appear to be so afraid?” Johnson said. “What does that really tell us about our system? It’s a very odd thing. You’re basically seeing that the people who’ve been the best at reading the tea leaves—the ones with the most resources, because that’s how they made their money—are now the ones most preparing to pull the rip cord and jump out of the plane.”






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Wednesday, 25 January 2017

Dow crosses 20000 for the first time on reinvigorated Trump rally


Dow crosses 20000 for the first time on reinvigorated Trump rally

"Dow crosses 20000 for the first time on reinvigorated Trump rally" 

in the news Dow crosses 20000 for the first time on reinvigorated Trump rally? What this all about..... See below. 

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Sentiment Trader below shows Dow Jones Industrial Average closes above 20,000 for first time Trump rally resumes after presidential orders on pipelines and Mexican wall

U.S. equities closed at all-time highs on Wednesday after a series of executive orders from President Donald Trump increased bullish sentiment on Wall Street, while financials outperformed.

The Dow Jones industrial average broke above 20,000 for the first time, rising about 150 points as Boeing, Goldman Sachs and IBM contributed the most gains.
"People are seeing that the administration is carrying through with some of the things they promised," said John Stadtler, head of U.S. Financial Services Industry Practice at PwC. "It looks like long-term capital gains are here to stay."

The S&P 500 advanced 0.8 percent to a new all-time high, with financials rising more than 1.5 percent. 

"Clearly, this has become a buy-high-sell-higher market with the Dow breaking above 20,000," said Terry Sandven, chief equity strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management. "Out of the gate, President Trump is moving along with his agenda."

"More importantly, earnings have been on the cusp of increasing, and that's going to be key to hold these valuations," Sandven said.

 Dow now over 20,000 his is quite interesting. 




The Nasdaq composite gained 0.99 percent, also notching a record high.

"Traders have been waiting for more details on infrastructure spending and now they have it in a very clear format," said Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst at Think Markets. "There is nothing bigger than this. A break of 20,000 for the Dow stimulates fresh capital which has been waiting for this moment to join this party.

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Monday, 23 January 2017

Let's ride the Green Rush - marijuana stocks

Let's ride the Green Rush - marijuana stocks

"Let's ride the Green Rush - marijuana stocks" 

in the news Let's ride the Green Rush - marijuana stocks? What this all about..... See below. 

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Sentiment Trader  shows its members the new Green rush of stocks, that the big dogs on wall street are starting to turn lick their lips over.  


Focus on Legalization

Americans are set to head to the polls, when nine states will vote on the Cannabis initiatives. Public favor, after a decade long embargo, is turning toward the legalization of both medical and recreational marijuana. Gallup polls showed that Americans backing full legalization soared from a meagre 12% in 1969 to 60% in recent times.

In fact, the number of states legalizing marijuana has been rising at a steady pace since 2000. Prior to 2000, three states including California, Oregon and Maine had made medical cannabis legal. But, in the last six years, around 15 states have officially authorized medical marijuana. Also, about 25 states have adopted medical marijuana programs, including the District of Columbia. This year alone, medical marijuana has been legalized in Pennsylvania and Ohio.

Arizona, California, Massachusetts, Maine and Nevada are positioned to vote for the legalization of the drug for recreational purposes. Alaska, Oregon, Colorado and Washington are the ones that already permit recreational marijuana use.

Tax Revenue to Improve

The government will definitely want to legalize marijuana as its sales will boost tax revenues significantly. In states such as Colorado and Washington, the government had collected around $70 million in tax revenue from recreational marijuana sales in 2014, according to Time Magazine and CNN. This is almost twice as much revenues generated from alcohol taxes in such areas, according to ArcView Group.

Financial behemoth, Bank of America Corporation (BAC) had said that the U.S. marijuana market could reach a worth of around $30 billion annually by 2020, almost thrice the yearly revenue of the National Football League.

Extensive Medical Use

Research has also shown that cannabis can cure a wide range of diseases. Some of them include schizophrenia, Type 2 diabetes, post-traumatic stress disorder and even some types of cancer. Cannabis-derived drugs are already approved in the U.K., Germany and Spain.

Multidisciplinary Association for Psychedelic Studies, meantime, is trying to get marijuana approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for the treatment of post-traumatic stress disorder. In a poll conducted by ABC News in 2010, almost 81% of the Americans believed that medical marijuana should be legalized completely in the U.S.

Fastest-Growing Industry

The legal marijuana industry is already growing at a rapid pace. The industry grew 24% to $5.7 billion last year, which makes it the fastest paced industry in the U.S., according to ArcView Group.


The market research firm added that the industry is expected to grow by $7.1 billion this year. ArcView also said that legal cannabis industry sales will grow more than 200% to $22.8 billion in the next four years.

WHAT LOOKS GOOD!.....


Let's ride the Green Rush - marijuana stocks


Pepsico, Inc. PEP -- operates as a food and beverage company worldwide. Its Frito-Lay North America segment offers snack foods including Doritos, which has THC the main chemical in marijuana. With pot getting legalized, sales of such products are expected to improve further.

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Sunday, 22 January 2017

The 7 Deadly Sins of Investing - The 7 Deadly Sins of Investing


The 7 Deadly Sins of Investing

"The 7 Deadly Sins of Investing" 

in the news The 7 Deadly Sins of Investing? What this all about..... See below. 

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Sentiment Trader presents....

The 7 Deadly Sins of Investing


The 7 Deadly Sins of Investing

1. Following the Herd

The statue on Wall Street is a charging bull, and could also symbolize people just being blindfolded and following the herd. That is something the affect traders from time to time. Lets say a stock or an asset class such as gold or real estate starts to rally, investors pile in thinking it’s the golden ticket to wealth. But Normally by the time the news gets around via word of mouth its already too late to make some considerable profits. The longer something rallies, the more keen people are to buy, and that might be a problem, because the stampede might be well and truly over by the time you get in. 

2. Fear

To avoid losses, Warren Buffet once said you have to take risks in this world to get any where. Sometimes what the average investor sees as risk, is just volatility in the markets. You will get days, that the market hardly moves, then you will get news announcements where the market whips back and forth and makes people sea sick. Although a volatile market can be frightening. The real dangers is going to be too afraid to pull the trigger on a trade. That will mean you will lose buying power permanently. 

3. Hanging on Too Long

Its hard to know when to sell. I am sure you have been this situation. You are in profit and maybe in some very large profits, and greed gets the best of you. Once a stock goes up, you think things can just get better each and every day, only to see your huge profit dwindle back down to nothing and turn into a loss. 
This is quite common as an investor. Every once and a while you will buy something and become psychologically attached to it. Lets face it, if you own a lemon, its going to leave a more sour taste the longer you hold on to it, so for the better part, it might be better to get rid of it sooner rather than later. 

4. Not Rebalancing

This is a very important aspect to ones trading account. The performance of your different investments might differ. Lets say you have 50% in stock, and the other 50% in bonds. The stocks gain 25% and the bonds stay the same. You will end up with 55% in stocks and 45% in bonds. So letting your portfolio get too far out of harnd will increase risk, and will not meet your investment needs and goals over the long run. This can potentially put you are more unintentionally at more risk, than you might have been willing to take from day 1. So every 12 month sit down with your stock broker or someone who can asses what has happened and re-plan and re-balance things if need be. 

5. Making Things Complicated

In reality, if you own more securities you take on more risk. With each rise and fall of the market, your portfolio is going to act like an index fund. To increase your profits, you do not need to enter more positions, because that will only increase your time, brokerage fees, and energy needed to manage your accounts. The most successful investors are people who do not complicate things. They have a simple plan, and execute their plan effectively without too much messing about. 

6.  Stop Losses Are Key

A trader who is unsuccessful are traders who usually do not use stops. This basically means, when they enter at trade, they always think the trade will go in their direction and thus in turn think they do not need to give themselves insurance or use a stop loss. Stop losses are so critical because every now and then, a position will turn against you, and that means you need to either opt out of the trade, or minimize your position. Doing so will ensure you are protecting your capital and you have what’s called ‘longevity in the market’. Meaning you will always have money to trade with, and never expose your account to gigantic losses. 

7 Not Sticking To a Plan

The greatest sin of them all is when an investor fails to stick to their basic plan. You have to remember that the purpose of investing is to generate wealth, swiftly without putting your future at stake. If you do not have a plan, you will not know if you are on the right track. But not sticking to your plan, once a plan is formulated and in place is like walking through a minefield blindfolded. Its mandatory in this day and age with a very volatile market conditions to have your goals set in place and a time horizon to know what steps to take, in order to succeed. 


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Thursday, 19 January 2017

D.C. group Is Passing Out 4,200 Free Joints at Trump's Inauguration


D.C. group Is Passing Out 4,200 Free Joints at Trump's Inauguration

"D.C. group Is Passing Out 4,200 Free Joints at Trump's Inauguration" 

in the news D.C. group Is Passing Out 4,200 Free Joints at Trump's Inauguration? What this all about..... See below. 

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Sentiment Trader has heard in major breaking news that D.C. group Is Passing Out 4,200 Free Joints at Trump's Inauguration

D.C. group Is Passing Out 4,200 Free Joints at Trump's Inauguration
D.C. group Is Passing Out 4,200 Free Joints at Trump's Inauguration


One Washington, D.C., nonprofit is doing its part to make President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration the dopest event in town. 

The DCMJ, a pro-marijuana advocacy group, plans to pass out 4,200 free joints during Trump's inauguration on Jan. 20, with the goal of orchestrating a massive group smoke-down. “At 4 minutes and 20 seconds into President Trump's speech we'll light up! (unless President Trump comes out now in support of full cannabis legalization in all 50 States and DC!)” the group writes on Facebook. (The number 420 is another term for weed, in case you were wondering.)

The group hopes to entice Trump supporters who back legalized marijuana.

“We are forced to do this type of publicity stunt because the Trump administration hasn’t mentioned marijuana once since he was elected,” said DCMJ founder Adam Eidinger. “It reminds people that the public wants change, and the politicians aren’t doing it.”

DCMJ

Operating as the DC Cannabis Coalition, DCMJ was one of a number of groups that helped Washington, D.C., legalize recreational marijuana use in November 2014. 

The law allows adults over 21 to legally possess up to two ounces of marijuana for personal use and grow up to six plants. Use of marijuana is limited to private homes, however, and possession and use remain illegal on federal property. (DCMJ's smoke-session protest is set to take place on the National Mall, which is federal land.) It is also illegal to sell marijuana in D.C., but it's perfectly legal to give it away.

Recreational marijuana is now legal at the state level in eight states in addition to Washington, D.C. (Colorado, Washington, Oregon, California, Alaska, Massachusetts, Maine, Nevada.) However, the drug remains illegal according to U.S. law, giving the Department of Justice power to crack down on legal and medical marijuana (legal in 28 states and D.C.), if its leadership so chooses. 


Trump's nominee for attorney general, Sen. Jeff Sessions (R-Ala.), is widely expected to push back against the wave of green allowed to wash over the U.S. during the Obama administration. 


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Wednesday, 18 January 2017

bitcoin turmoil - bitcoin turmoil


bitcoin turmoil

"bitcoin turmoil" 

in the news bitcoin turmoil? What this all about..... See below. 

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Sentiment Trader here jh has seen some lots of bitcoin turmoil lately and may people predicting ridiculous targets for bitcoin in 2017. Lets pull in the reigns a bit here and study the chart. 

The future of the cryptocurrency industry is still clouded with doubt since Warren Buffett has been one of the biggest critics of the market. Bitcoin is, by far, the leading unit in the cryptocurrency market and based on Buffett's comments over time, it is fair to say the legendary investor does not value it at all, let alone imagine a bright future ahead.

I do not really like Warren Buffet the man, because of who he assosiates with, but lets face it, the guys is not poor, and his wealthy for a reason. So I do value what he has to say. 

In 2014, just after bitcoin hit an all-time high, Buffett warned investors to stay away from it, saying it was nothing more than a mirage. In response to a question regarding cryptocurrency by Dan Gilbert, the Quicken Loans founder, he said:

"It's a method of transmitting money. It's a very effective way of transmitting money and you can do it anonymously and all that. A check is a way of transmitting money, too. Are checks worth a whole lot of money just because they can transmit money? Are money orders? You can transmit money by money orders. People do it. I hope bitcoin becomes a better way of doing it, but you can replicate it a bunch of different ways and it will be. The idea that it has some huge intrinsic value is just a joke in my view."

Quite interesting if you ask me. But you can take it for what its worth. 

True to his word, bitcoin lost more than 80% of its value within the following year (falling from more than $1,000 a coin in December 2013 to about $200 in January 2015). After a 12-month hiatus in 2015 however, bitcoin has since recovered to rally over the $1,000 level and now its sold off back to around $867

Here is the BITCOIN weekly chart. This is quite interesting. 


bitcoin turmoil


Obviously a break of 800 for bitcoin in 2017 would be bad and create more turmoil shorter term. But we will have to wait and see. The trend is your friend until the end, they say in stock trading, and so far for the last 6 months the trend has been up. 

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